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Propagation outlook from Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jul 02 0504 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 25 June – 01 July 2018

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2715 (N08, L=231,
class/area Dao/070 on 23 Jun) was the only spotted region on the
disk and was quiet throughout the summary period. No Earth-directed
CMEs were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels throughout the period. A maximum flux of 5,570 pfu was
observed at 28/1935 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to isolated G1 (Minor) storm
periods from late on 25 Jun through 26 Jun in response to an SSBC
from a positive to a negative sector observed midday on 25 Jun. A
CIR signature was evident early on 26 Jun in advance of an
equatorial, negative polarity CH HSS. Total field (Bt) peaked at 14
nT, the Bz component reached a maximum negative extent of -9 nT and
wind speeds increased from about 400 km/s to about 670 km/s; all
during 26 Jun. For the remainder of the summary period, field
conditions were at quiet levels with an isolated unsettled interval
late on 27 Jun. By the end of the summary period, Bt and Bz were at
nominal levels while wind speeds decreased to near 350 km/s.

FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 02 JULY – 28 JULY 2018

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels through 10 Jul.
With the return of old Region 2715 (N08, L=231) from 11-24 Jul,
activity levels are expected to remain at very low levels, with a
slight chance for C-class activity. A return to very low levels is
expected from 25-28 Jul.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at high levels on 02-10 Jul and again on 21-28 Jul
due to CH HSS influence. Normal to moderate levels are expected from
11-20 Jul.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 15 Jul and 20-24 Jul with isolated G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storms likely on 23 Jul, all due to recurrent CH HSS activity.
Mostly quiet levels are expected for the remainder of the outlook
period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jul 02 0504 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-07-02
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Jul 02 68 5 2
2018 Jul 03 68 5 2
2018 Jul 04 68 5 2
2018 Jul 05 68 5 2
2018 Jul 06 68 5 2
2018 Jul 07 68 5 2
2018 Jul 08 68 5 2
2018 Jul 09 68 5 2
2018 Jul 10 69 5 2
2018 Jul 11 72 5 2
2018 Jul 12 72 5 2
2018 Jul 13 72 5 2
2018 Jul 14 75 5 2
2018 Jul 15 75 15 4
2018 Jul 16 77 5 2
2018 Jul 17 80 5 2
2018 Jul 18 80 5 2
2018 Jul 19 80 5 2
2018 Jul 20 77 15 4
2018 Jul 21 77 8 3
2018 Jul 22 73 10 4
2018 Jul 23 71 18 5
2018 Jul 24 70 7 3
2018 Jul 25 70 5 2
2018 Jul 26 69 5 2
2018 Jul 27 69 5 2
2018 Jul 28 68 5 2
(SWPC via DXLD)

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