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Propagation outlook from Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Jul 16 0150 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 09 – 15 July 2018

Solar activity was very low throughout the reporting period. The
visible disk produced several plage regions but no visible spots
were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to moderate levels. Moderate levels were reached on 09-11 Jul
and 13-17 Jul.

Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet with several periods of
unsettled observed on 11-12 Jul. A slow-moving transient signature
was observed in the solar wind midday on 10 Jul from a CME first
observed in STEREO AHEAD COR 2 imagery early on 05 Jul. A decrease
in solar wind speeds was observed, after the onset, which lowered
winds from near 385 km/s to 309 km/s at its slowest point on 11 Jul.
Total magnetic field strength peaked at arrival with 13 nT. Bz was
mostly oriented either near neutral or northward which produced a
quiet to unsettled geomagnetic response throughout the duration of
the transient.

FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 16 JULY – 11 AUGUST 2018

Solar activity is expected to remain very low throughout the outlook
period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to range from moderate to high levels. Moderate to high
level are expected over 21-31 Jul and normal to moderate levels are
expected through the remainder of the outlook period. All
enhancements in the greater than 2 MeV electron flux are due to the
anticipated influence of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to G1
(Minor) geomagnetic storm levels. Unsettled levels are expected on
16 Jul, 21 Jul and 24 Jul; active levels are expected on 20 Jul and
22 Jul; G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels are expected on 23 Jul.
All increases in geomagnetic activity are in anticipation of
multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Jul 16 0150 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-07-16
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Jul 16 72 8 3
2018 Jul 17 72 5 2
2018 Jul 18 72 5 2
2018 Jul 19 72 5 2
2018 Jul 20 72 16 4
2018 Jul 21 72 8 3
2018 Jul 22 72 10 4
2018 Jul 23 70 18 5
2018 Jul 24 68 8 3
2018 Jul 25 68 5 2
2018 Jul 26 68 5 2
2018 Jul 27 68 5 2
2018 Jul 28 68 5 2
2018 Jul 29 68 5 2
2018 Jul 30 68 5 2
2018 Jul 31 68 5 2
2018 Aug 01 68 5 2
2018 Aug 02 70 5 2
2018 Aug 03 72 5 2
2018 Aug 04 72 5 2
2018 Aug 05 72 5 2
2018 Aug 06 72 5 2
2018 Aug 07 72 5 2
2018 Aug 08 72 5 2
2018 Aug 09 72 5 2
2018 Aug 10 72 5 2
2018 Aug 11 72 5 2
(SWPC via DXLD)

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