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Propagation outlook from SWPC Boulder July 6

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 Jul 06 0150 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
29 June – 05 July 2020

Solar activity was very low. Region 2766 (N06 L=117, class/area
Bxo/beta on 04 Jul) was the only active region on the visible disk.
The region was in decay at the end of the reporting period.

Other activity included a DFS, approximately 18 degrees in length,
which erupted in the SE quadrant beginning around 05/0630 UTC.
Subsequent SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery showed the related CME signature
after 05/1412 UTC. Analysis for an Earth-directed component is
ongoing.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal background to moderate levels.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to unsettled. Unsettled
levels were observed on 01 Jul due to sustained southward Bz and on
04-05 Jul in response to a positive polarity CH HSS. The remainder
of the summary period was at quiet levels under nominal solar wind
conditions.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 July – 01 August 2020

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the
outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be normal background to moderate levels throughout the
outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled
levels. A recurrent positive polarity CH HSS is expected to cause
isolated unsettled levels on 06 Jul and again on 31 Jul – 01 Aug.
The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet
levels. Analysis and modeling of the 5 Jul CME is not complete and
the presence of an Earth-directed component is possible.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 Jul 06 0150 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2020-07-06
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2020 Jul 06 69 8 3
2020 Jul 07 69 5 2
2020 Jul 08 69 5 2
2020 Jul 09 69 5 2
2020 Jul 10 69 5 2
2020 Jul 11 69 5 2
2020 Jul 12 69 5 2
2020 Jul 13 68 5 2
2020 Jul 14 68 5 2
2020 Jul 15 68 5 2
2020 Jul 16 68 5 2
2020 Jul 17 68 5 2
2020 Jul 18 68 5 2
2020 Jul 19 68 5 2
2020 Jul 20 68 5 2
2020 Jul 21 68 5 2
2020 Jul 22 68 5 2
2020 Jul 23 68 5 2
2020 Jul 24 68 5 2
2020 Jul 25 69 5 2
2020 Jul 26 69 5 2
2020 Jul 27 69 5 2
2020 Jul 28 69 5 2
2020 Jul 29 69 5 2
2020 Jul 30 69 5 2
2020 Jul 31 69 12 3
2020 Aug 01 69 10 3

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