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Propagation outlook from SWPC Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Jan 10 0129 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
03 – 09 January 2022

Solar activity was at very low to low levels during the period.
C-class activity was observed on 06-07 Jan from Region 2924 (S31,
L=038, class/area Ehi/430 on 08 Jan). The largest of these events
was a C2 flare observed at 07/2210 UTC. The remaining regions were
unremarkable and quiet. Late on 09 Jan, Type II (575 km/s S.V.) and
Type IV radio emissions were observed, most likely associated with
CME activity at or behind the NE limb. No other activity was
observed during the period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 08 Jan with a maximum flux of 2,655 pfu obseved at
08/1805 UTC. Moderate levels were observed on 03-07 Jan and 09 Jan.

Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to GI (Minor) storm
levels. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed on 03-04 Jan, with
active periods on 04 Jan, due to positive polarity CH HSS influence.
Quiet levels persisted on 05 Jan through late on 08 Jan. G1 (Minor)
storm levels were observed late on 08 Jan due to negative polarity
CH HSS influence. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed on 09 Jan
as CH HSS influence slowly waned.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
10 January – 05 February 2022

Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels through
the outlook period. A slight chance to a chance for M-class flare
activity (R1-R2, Minor to Moderate) is possible on 10-29 Jan due to
the return of old Regions 2916 and 2918.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 19-23 Jan due to recurrent CH HSS
influence. Moderate levels are expected on 10-18 Jan, 24 -31 Jan and
01-05 Feb.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled levels on
10, 16-18, 23-26, 28-30 Jan and 04-05 Feb with active levels
expected on 17 Jan and 04 Feb, all due to recurrent CH HSS activity.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jan 10 0129 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-01-10
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Jan 10 102 8 3
2022 Jan 11 102 5 2
2022 Jan 12 105 5 2
2022 Jan 13 110 5 2
2022 Jan 14 110 5 2
2022 Jan 15 115 5 2
2022 Jan 16 115 12 5
2022 Jan 17 120 15 4
2022 Jan 18 120 10 3
2022 Jan 19 120 5 2
2022 Jan 20 120 5 2
2022 Jan 21 120 5 2
2022 Jan 22 120 5 2
2022 Jan 23 120 10 3
2022 Jan 24 120 8 3
2022 Jan 25 110 8 3
2022 Jan 26 100 8 3
2022 Jan 27 100 5 2
2022 Jan 28 95 10 3
2022 Jan 29 90 10 3
2022 Jan 30 85 10 3
2022 Jan 31 85 5 2
2022 Feb 01 85 5 2
2022 Feb 02 95 5 2
2022 Feb 03 105 5 2
2022 Feb 04 100 15 5
2022 Feb 05 100 10 3