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Propagation outlook from SWPC

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Jul 04 0139 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
27 June – 03 July 2022

Solar activity was at very low to low levels during the period. Low
levels were observed on 27 and 30 Jun and 03 Jul with C-class
activity observed from Region 3040 (S13, L=325, class/area Cso/160
on 24 Jun). Late on 28 Jun, an 11 degree filament erupted along a
channel centered near N23E20. LASCO C2 imagery observed a narrow CME
off the W limb with an apparent Earth-directed component.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels on 27-30 Jun and 01 Jul with a maximum flux value of
6,970 pfu observed at 01/1720 UTC. Normal to moderate levels were
observed on 02-03 Jul.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to G1 (Minor) storm levels
during the period. Unsettled to active levels were observed on 27-28
Jun due to negative polarity CH HSS effects. Quiet levels were
observed on 29-30 Jun. Unsettled to active levels were observed on
01-03 Jul, with an isolated G1 (Minor) storm interval observed early
on 02 Jul due to CME effects from the 28 Jun DSF.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
04 July – 30 July 2022

Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels through
the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at high levels on 08-13, 16-21 and 24-30 Jul due to
CH HSS influence. Normal to moderate levels are expected on 04-07,
14-15 and 22-23 Jul.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled levels on
05-08, 14-17 and 22-25 Jul with active intervals likely on 06-07,
15-16, and 22-23 Jul and G1 (Minor) storm levels are likely on 06
Jul, all due to recurrent CH HSS activity.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jul 04 0139 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-07-04
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Jul 04 110 5 2
2022 Jul 05 112 8 3
2022 Jul 06 112 25 5
2022 Jul 07 115 12 4
2022 Jul 08 115 8 3
2022 Jul 09 115 5 2
2022 Jul 10 115 5 2
2022 Jul 11 112 5 2
2022 Jul 12 112 5 2
2022 Jul 13 110 5 2
2022 Jul 14 108 10 3
2022 Jul 15 108 15 4
2022 Jul 16 110 12 4
2022 Jul 17 100 10 3
2022 Jul 18 95 8 3
2022 Jul 19 98 8 3
2022 Jul 20 95 8 3
2022 Jul 21 95 8 3
2022 Jul 22 98 12 4
2022 Jul 23 98 15 4
2022 Jul 24 100 10 3
2022 Jul 25 100 8 3
2022 Jul 26 102 5 2
2022 Jul 27 105 5 2
2022 Jul 28 105 5 2
2022 Jul 29 100 5 2
2022 Jul 30 110 5 2

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